Before you bet on a horse you review the program. The program gives handicappers the opportunity to analyze the historical data of each horse race. The data provided ranges anywhere from who the father was to what medicine the horse has taken.
In tennis you get no such program because tennis isn’t played for bettors, but rather for fans of the game. Thus, there’s not much guidance or information for bettors to analyze. We’ve got some good news for you though. BookieSmash has got the perfect guide to get you going on your predictive analysis for French Open betting.
1. Tournament Schedule
The first items you must become acquainted with are the ATP and WTA schedules. These are easily accessible through the ATP and WTA websites. Every professional tennis player lines out their schedules in conjunction with these associations. The men’s best players will participate in the ATP Masters 1000 events and the top women will participate in the Premier Mandatory and Premier 5 events.
The clay-court season can be the most demanding as there are many tournaments that run back to back for both the men’s and women’s tour leading up to the French Open. Therefore, it’s very important that you do your research to find out which tournaments your chosen player has participated in. The schedule is known to create fatigue and provoke injury so if you’re not well read on a player’s tournament history leading up to the French Open you may miss key performance indicators such as: fatigue, injury, mental lapses, and momentum.
Lastly, don’t forget to use comparable tournaments to the French Open when making predictions for players at Roland Garros. The surface speeds fluctuate from tournament to tournament on clay. There’s nothing official saying which court offers the slowest conditions, but Madrid is certainly the fastest clay court with Roland Garros and Rome competing for the slowest.
2. Player’s Health– Mental & Physical
This next subject builds on the first and that’s to make sure to stay in tune with your chosen player’s physical and mental health. Physically speaking the research is easy. After some quick Internet searching you can find out what the injury of a player is. The most common injuries are sprained ankles, shoulder pain, back strains, wrist pain, and tennis elbow. Some players will play through the pain with no effect on their game, but most will be unable to perform optimally.
By far the worst injury in tennis is psychological damage. The advantage to physical injury is that most have a finite and predictable recovery time where as mental obstacles don’t. The best way to pick up on a players psyche is by reviewing highlights or just watching a player’s entire match. Study their demeanor on the court and observe their body language. Are their forced errors due to their opponent’s strength? Are they pushing the ball back just to keep the ball in play? Are they rushing between points? Are they standing far behind the baseline? If the answer to any of these questions is yes then the player is showing a strong lack of confidence.
3. Tournament Draw
We’ve checked off the first couple of items on player analysis and now it’s time to review the tournament draw. The draw is comprised of two halves. The top half is where the top seed will be positioned and the second seed will be positioned in the bottom half. Everyone else is spread out accordingly. Don’t make the mistake of simply looking at your chosen player’s predicted path to the final. You must also make predictions on what their upcoming opponents path will look like and in what condition they’ll be in before they meet your chosen pro.
It could be the case that your selected pro might meet with an opponent in the later rounds that they might not be able to handle, but if the opponent’s path is not as smooth to that stage as your chosen player’s is then everything might be okay. The reason for this is that even though today player A might match up well against player B that could change 4-5 days from then that player A is too tired to play optimally because of a more difficult draw path.
4. Match History
Now that we’ve done the general homework of how a player will fair in a tournament we can breakdown how to analyze individual matchups. Head-to-head records provide the quickest insight into how well players will match up against one another. When analyzing for the French Open don’t be too quick to analyze a player’s overall head-to-head series. Be sure to breakdown their clay-to-clay matchup series instead. This will give you a much closer indication of who is better on clay.
There will be times that players have never played each other on clay before, or it’s been a couple of years since they last met. This is when you will have to size up the other indicators on this list and use either your best judgment or stay away from the match entirely.
Finally, we get to the most important indicator and that is making sure the player’s you choose have weapons that work well on clay. If you’re a big server and/or heavy hitter it doesn’t translate as a weapon like it would on other surfaces simply because clay slows everything down. That being the case, you are now looking to make sure that your chosen player has a large amount of stamina, good footwork, and consistency.
Players who thrive more on quick points won’t do well at Roland Garros. The surface allows for longer points. That being the case, players who can manipulate the ball with heavy topspin or backspin have an incredible advantage over their opponents. The top-spin will kick up at the French Open making it difficult to return and shots that travel with backspin will stay low to the ground making it just as hard to return in an offensive manner. And never ever forget to make sure your chosen pro has the stronger stamina between the two. This last comment is even more essential for men as the French Open is a Grand Slam event that is played in a best of five set format instead of a best of three.
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