US Open Betting Preview: Men's Odds and Picks

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The best players in tennis have arrived in the Big Apple for the fourth and final Grand Slam event of the ATP Tour. The US Open is home to the largest tennis stadium in the world, offering fans and players a truly unique experience to play under the lights of Arthur Ashe Stadium. The venue is home to some of the biggest tennis triumphs in our era and this year will likely be no different, as the world’s best will compete in hopes of eventually being crowned the champion.

Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer enter the tournament as the top two seeds, respectively. Djokovic is still trying to win his second title at Flushing Meadows and Federer is trying to set a new record for the open era by capturing his sixth US Open title. It’s been a tug of war between these two all season. However, others have made their presence known this season, too. Stan Wawrinka is one of those players with his striking baseline game, along with Andy Murray, who’s still one of the best returners on tour. Make no mistake these four will plead their case as champion when the event starts come Monday.

Other players looking to crash the party in New York this year include last year’s champion (Marin Cilic) and runner-up (Kei Nishikori). Their performances this season have been moderate, but after last year you can never count these two out. Spaniard David Ferrer will be making his return to the tour after missing Wimbledon with an elbow injury. Rafael Nadal’s position in the draw will give him the chance to face Djokovic in the quarterfinals. Fans will also have a chance to see Milos Raonic, John Isner, Ivo Karlovic, and Kevin Anderson as they try to blow their opponents off the court with their massive service games.

Current Betting Odds

Novak Djokovic11/10
Andy Murray7/2
Roger Federer4/1
Stan Wawrinka12/1
Kei Nishikori16/1
Rafael Nadal22/1
Tomas Berdych50/1
Marin Cilic50/1
Grigor Dimitrov50/1
Milos Raonic66/1

*Odds provided by bet365

Best Bets to Make

1. Roger Federer to Win (4/1): For the first time this season we’re finally comfortable taking Roger Federer as the best bet for winning a Major event. We’re well aware of how he just lost in this year’s Wimbledon final, his best surface, to Novak Djokovic in four sets, but we’ve been really impressed with Federer’s play at the Western & Southern Open in Cincinnati. Federer got to rebuild his confidence and pride after defeating Djokovic in the Cincinnati Masters 1000 event. Moreover, we also saw him experimenting with some new strategies on the way to his victory. The change in strategy seemed to work well thanks to the superb coaching by tennis great Stefan Edberg.

His approach in Cincinnati was certainly more offensive when he played Djokovic. There was way more net play, serve and volleying, chip and charging, and even close return play from just outside the service box. All of these tactics rattled the World No. 1 placing him on the defensive 80% of the time having to come up with great shots to fight off the Swiss. As a result, we think if Federer can implement this strategy again he’ll finally be able to squash the Grand Slam drought he’s been in for the last three years.

2. Novak Djokovic to Win (11/10): This one was obvious. If the man to beat is Djokovic and the only man capable is Federer then the second best bet has to be Djokovic in case a player like last year’s Marin Cilic comes out of nowhere to throw off the bottom half of the draw. Believe it or not, Djokovic has made it to every final in every event he’s played since the Australian Open. The feat alone is so impressive that not even Serena Williams’ 2015 season has been so flawless in this category.

Yes it spells trouble that Novak Djokovic lost in the Rogers Cup Final to Andy Murray and then to Federer in Cincinnati, but both these men are on the opposite side of the draw. The only player that might stand in his way to another final here is Kei Nishikori. We won’t look too much into that as Nishikori has shown some signs of injury woes that could catch up with him in the second week. All in all, we’re pretty confident that Djokovic is at the very least making the final this year.

Predictions

Semifinals

Djokovic vs. Nishikori
Murray vs. Federer

Finals

Djokovic vs. Federer

Winner

Roger Federer

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