All the picks in one place! The BookieSmash team breaks down every NFL game for Week 7, and offers the best bet for each game using our wide array of betting sites. Read on before placing your bets this week!
SUNDAY, OCT. 23
NY Giants vs. LA Rams
The second London game of the year features a couple of pretty poor offenses that got things going last week — the Rams scored 28 against the Lions while the Giants put up 27 against the Ravens. That's not likely to continue. Both the Lions and Ravens were struggling with a brutal litany of injuries on the defensive side of the ball, and the Lions were bad on defense even before that. QB Case Keenum appears to be playing well above his talent level, and the Giants' inability to protect Eli Manning is going to hurt them against a talented Rams defensive line.
Minnesota Vikings at Philadelphia Eagles
It's been a bit of a harsh slide for the Eagles after a very promising start to the season, with QB Carson Wentz regressing as expected. However, this passing defense still ranks among the better ones out there, and it doesn't take that much to slow down a Vikings running game featuring a couple of backup RBs. This one should be close and low-scoring, and the Eagles have the better big-play threats with the Vikes likely missing Stefon Diggs again.
New Orleans Saints at KC Chiefs
Both of these teams impressed last weekend in taking victories over division rivals at home. The Saints showed their defense is still pretty poor though as the Panthers were able to storm back from a big first-half deficit. However, the Chiefs are the type of slow-moving, ground-based offense that isn't likely to open up a huge lead against these guys. Even if they do open one up against the league's 28th-ranked defense, the Saints have the type of offense that is made for the backdoor cover. Drew Brees excels in the two-minute offense, and we like the Saints to score late for the cover.
Washington Redskins at Detroit Lions
This Lions defense that was bad to begin with is even worse now with Haloti Ngata and DeAndre Levy nursing injuries, and they allowed a poor Rams offense to somehow pile up 321 passing yards and 28 points. That doesn't bode well against a Washington offense rolling right now with a running game that's come to life featuring Matt Jones running all over the past few opponents. The Lions can definitely pile up the points though, and they should be able to move the ball provided they stick with some running against a Washington defense that's been crushed by opposing backs to the tune of 5 yards per carry.
Cleveland Browns at Cincinnati Bengals
It was an ugly day for the Browns defense as they allowed Marcus Mariota and the mediocre Titans offense to roll up 7.1 yards per play and basically do what they wanted. Cleveland is particularly poor against the pass, where they rank 30th in the NFL. Andy Dalton and AJ Green should have a field day against these guys, and they're likely to jump out to a pretty big lead at home. Once that happens, expect their defense to pump the brakes a little and the Browns to grind their way up to 20 points or so.
Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
The Dolphins finally somewhat resembled an NFL team in winning at home against the short-handed Steelers, who lost superstar QB Ben Roethlisberger early on. Even without Big Ben, the Steelers are tough to deal with as they have plenty of talent at skill positions, though. The Bills continue to crush against bad teams, so everyone is firing them in this spot. Keep an eye on the injury report, as LeSean McCoy exited Wednesday's practice early with a hamstring injury. He's one of the few true difference makers at RB, and it would put lots of pressure on Tyrod Taylor if he sits. Sell high on the Bills on the road.
Oakland Raiders at Jacksonville Jaguars
This is a battle of two very pass-heavy offenses — each of these teams ranks in the bottom eight in rushing play percentage. Assuming these teams come out and air it out as usual, that's a good thing for over bettors, as we could see yards in chunks here and plenty of clock stoppages on incomplete passes. The Oakland secondary in particular continues to be shredded on a weekly basis, giving up a league-worst 8.8 yards per attempt. Derek Carr will have a tougher job against a solid Jags secondary, but he's good enough to produce no matter what, and we like the over here.
Indianapolis Colts at Tennessee Titans
The Colts let one slip away in epic fashion against the Texans on Sunday Night Football, blowing a 14-point lead with just minutes to go. They'll surely come with a focused effort here knowing their margin for error is almost zero. That said, the Titans look like just as good of a team as this poor Colts side at this point, leaning on a strong running game featuring DeMarco Murray and a solid line. The key will be Marcus Mariota avoiding turnovers, but if any team can be counted on to put little pressure on the opposing QB, it's this Colts defense that's last in the league against the run and allowed a field day to Lamar Miller.
Baltimore Ravens at NY Jets
It's finally Geno time in New York, as turnover machine Ryan Fitzpatrick has been given a clipboard in favor of seeing what Geno Smith can do. He gets a pretty soft landing against a Ravens defense that was once looking pretty promising but has run into a rash of injuries. Star pass rusher Terrell Suggs is out, and top corner Jimmy Smith suffered a concussion. That led to an absolute bonanza by Odell Beckham Jr. last weekend, and while Brandon Marshall isn't that sort of gamebreaker, he should be able to do basically what he wants against these replacement-level corners. The Jets will score, and Ravens coach Jim Harbaugh is smart enough to attack this Jets defense through the air, where they're weakest.
San Diego Chargers at Atlanta Falcons
In what's expected to be the highest-scoring game of the week with a total of 53, the Chargers take on the Falcons in the Georgia Dome. The Falcons continued to play really well in a close loss to the Seahawks on the road, and the Chargers finally got the monkey off their backs and closed out a W against the Broncos. Philip Rivers and his fleet of no-name targets should have a productive day in the dome against the 23rd-ranked pass defense, and nobody has been able to stop this Falcons offense loaded with skill-position stars. The Chargers should keep pace here and make it a competitive loss.
Tampa Bay Bucs at San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers continue to look generally inept, but the switch to Colin Kaepernick at QB did spark their offense a little bit as they were able to put some scoring drives together against the Bills. They just couldn't stop the run, where got gashed by LeSean McCoy for 140 yards and 3 TDs. That shouldn't be a major issue against a Bucs team that looks to be firing Jacquizz Rodgers at RB with their top two options there out injured, and Jameis Winston hasn't looked good in recent weeks.
New England Patriots at Pittsburgh Steelers
Seemingly nobody believes the Steelers have a prayer against the Patriots at home here as they're getting just 12 percent of the early bets despite getting a big number at home. Big Ben is important, no doubt, and Landry Jones has shown little, but this is still a very talented football team that will no doubt figure out ways to get the ball to difference makers like Le'Veon Bell and Antonio Brown. The Steelers will find a way to keep this one competitive at home.
Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals
The way to attack this Cardinals team is on the ground, but the Seahawks offensive line has been getting very little push in the early weeks — they rank just 28th in adjusted line yards. That means Russell Wilson will probably have to take to the air against what's been a fearsome pass defense, and we don't love his chances of attacking guys like Patrick Peterson and Tyrann Mathieu. Keeping Carson Palmer out of the face of the rough Hawks pass rush will be the key for the Cardinals, and coach Bruce Arians should be up to the task to keeping them off balance.
Monday, Oct. 24
Houston Texans at Denver Broncos
The Texans may have pulled off an amazing comeback against the Colts, but this team still had all of nine points late in the fourth quarter against a defense that's been terrible all year. We have absolutely no idea how they're going to move the ball against the fearsome Broncos, who are sure to load up the box to stop Lamar Miller and force Brock Osweiler to beat him in his opportunity for revenge against his old team. That's unlikely to happen. On the other side of the ball, Jadeveon Clowney is single-handedly destroying opposing plays, and the Broncos could barely move the ball against an average Chargers bunch. This smells like a defensive struggle all the way.