All the picks in one place! The BookieSmash team breaks down every NFL game for Week 5, and offers the best bet for each game using our wide array of betting sites. Read on before placing your bets this week!
SUNDAY, OCT. 9
Houston Texans at Minnesota Vikings
Houston might be one of the least impressive 3-1 teams in recent memory, and they've now lost JJ Watt, who was already looking hobbled out there. On the other side of the ball, Brock Osweiler has not impressed thus far, barely completing more than 60 percent of his passes with a relatively weak 6.5 yards per attempt. He's also thrown six picks already. That carelessness is not going to do against a ferocious Vikings defense that looks like it might be able to challenge the Broncos for the title of league's best. We don't see the Texans moving the ball at all, and the Vikings should capitalize on some turnovers to get the cover.
Tennessee Titans at Miami Dolphins
In a matchup of two of the league's worst, the Dolphins get a home date on extra rest against the Titans. That said, it's hard to envision this team being more than a field goal favorite over another professional football team, especially given that their lone win came in overtime at home against a Browns team starting a third-round rookie at QB. This is probably going to come down to which QB can avoid turnovers, and neither team really has an edge over the other in a game this unpredictable, the underdog is probably the play.
New England Patriots at Cleveland Browns
The Patriots are legendarily effective coming off of a loss, and that's the case here after they were crushed at home last week by the Bills. The return of Tom Brady has bettors tripping over themselves to fire the Pats — north of 90 percent of bettors are supporting them in the early going. Home underdogs whom nobody believes in are usually a great spot, so we'll take the Browns here. This team has actually been pretty competitive despite their myriad injuries piling up, and you can bet they have this one circled. The Pats just aren't as scary without Rob Gronkowski healthy, and expect them to come out throwing a bunch of short passes. If the Browns can make them work, they'll stay in this game.
NY Jets at Pittsburgh Steelers
The Steelers absolutely destroyed what was expected to be a good Chiefs defense on Sunday night, racking up 29 first-half points on the way to a 43-14 win. Legendary Jets corner Darrelle Revis is past 30 now, and he just can't stay with quicker receivers nowadays, as evidenced by AJ Green having his way Week 1. They don't come much quicker than Antonio Brown, and this Jets pass defense that ranks 31st against the pass is likely going to be easy pickings for Brown and Ben Roethlisberger. Jets QB Ryan Fitzpatrick is going to have to temporarily stop throwing picks for this over to come through, but we expect to see plenty of passes from both teams to help get this over in.
Washington Redskins at Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens defense has come together nicely thus far this season, though they have faced a pretty easy slate of opposing offenses outside of their home loss to Oakland. Still, even the Raiders only managed 4.8 yards per play, well below their season average of 6.3. These guys look legit, and they get a plum matchup against the Redskins and turnover-prone QB Kirk Cousins. He's likely to give it away at least once, and the Ravens should bounce back here and get a win and cover. A more balanced offense they showed against the Raiders, with Terrance West running for over 100 yards, is also encouraging, as that's the best way to attack the Redskins — they allow 4.9 per carry, second-worst in the NFL.
Philadelphia Eagles at Detroit Lions
Our initial faith in the Lions looked justified after Week 1, but they've tailed off badly since then and get a very tough date with the surging Eagles here. This is another home underdog that nobody believes in, as 82 percent of the public is hammering the road favorite. Admittedly, Carson Wentz has looked spectacular, but there's just no way this team isn't playing above its talent level thus far, considering their preseason win total was six. There's also no way Matt Stafford can continue to play as bad as he has, so expect a better performance at home.
Chicago Bears at Indianapolis Colts
Neither of these teams has really been able to stop anyone so far this season, with the Colts getting crushed by opposing offenses basically every way possible and the Bears completely unable to slow down opposing running games. RB Jordan Howard has given the Bears a little bit of shot of life in to their offense since replacing injured Jeremy Langford, and he has a nice target in a Colts run D that's in the bottom five. Both teams should be able to run it, which will help in the red zone. As long as they get TDs there, we like the over here.
Atlanta Falcons at Denver Broncos
Many were impressed after Julio Jones eviscerated the Panthers with a little help from Matt Ryan, piling up an eye-popping 300 yards. While that was an amazing performance indeed, this Panthers defense has taken a big step back with star corner Josh Norman no longer on the team. They might be easier than most people think to throw on this season. Ryan and Jones will have no such success against this Broncos D, which just continues to stifle people, allowing a league-low 4.3 yards per play. If Paxton Lynch comes in to play QB for the Broncos as expected, the Broncos might fire up a run-heavy attack that will help kill the clock here.
Buffalo Bills at LA Rams
It's a bit of a letdown spot for the Bills traveling across the country to face a mediocre Rams team after a big road win against the hated rival Patriots. Both teams play pretty solid defense, but the Rams actually have the better playmakers at WR somehow — the Bills are going to really miss Sammy Watkins at some point, as Robert Woods, serviceable though he is, just can't really masquerade as a WR1. The Rams simply have to contain Tyrod Taylor and LeSean McCoy running the ball, and this defense should be good enough to do and get the win by a field goal.
San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders
Sooner or later, something has to go right for the Chargers, right? This team just continues to trip over its own feet and mismanage the ends of games, but they can't be counted on to keep fumbling away games, even with Melvin Gordon's tendencies to lose the ball. There should be plenty of scoring here, and the Raiders still have a very vulnerable defense — both their run defense and pass defense rank among the worst in the league thus far. The loss of top corner Jason Verrett is big for San Diego, but they should at least be able to keep up on offense and keep this one close.
Cincinnati Bengals at Dallas Cowboys
It looks like top TE Tyler Eifert will once again sit out for the Bengals, severely limiting their options on offense. It's essentially AJ Green or bust in the passing game, which is a big help for a Cowboys defense that's been pretty poor against the pass. Andy Dalton just hasn't looked good this year without his normal complement of weapons. The Cowboys didn't look good in falling behind the 49ers, but they keep themselves in games by not turning the ball over, thanks in large part to Dak Prescott. As long as he keeps things close to the vest again, and Ezekiel Elliott continues to find the holes he's gotten the past few weeks, we like Dallas at home.
NY Giants at Green Bay Packers
Aaron Rodgers at home has been one of the surest bets in football in recent years, and this looks like another good spot for him. The Giants defense has been pretty serviceable for the most part, but there's only so much they can do in the brutal spots they are consistently put in by a one-dimensional offense. The Giants can't run the ball at all, and they'll have an especially hard time against a Packers D yielding a microscopic 1.8 per rush. When Eli Manning has been put in must-throw situations, he's been very turnover-prone historically, and you just cannot afford to give away possessions when Aaron Rodgers is on the other sideline. The Giants' woes continue here on the road.