All the picks in one place! The BookieSmash team breaks down every NFL game for Week 3, and offers the best bet for each game using our wide array of betting sites. Read on before placing your bets this week!
SUNDAY, SEPT. 25
Denver Broncos at Cincinnati Bengals
The Broncos have picked up right where they left off in 2015, riding a stellar, playmaking defense — they scored twice on that side of the ball against the Colts last weekend — to a 2-0 start. Things get tougher now that they're venturing out of their home stadium, but the Bengals haven't looked good thus far. Their offense has been particularly anemic, forced into one-dimensional play by the total failure to get any sort of running game going with Jeremy Hill, who had a piddling 2.7 yards per attempt this year. The defense probably won't put up another 14 for Denver, but it should keep it close enough to cover +3 in a low-scoring affair.
Oakland Raiders at Tennessee Titans
The Titans picked up a surprising first win of the season with a big road upset of the Lions as +6 underdogs. However, more than anything, that was the product of Detroit continually getting in its own way and failing to put the Titans away with numerous opportunities to do so. The Lions settled for field goals deep in Titans territory and QB Matt Stafford threw a brutal interception that blew up a potential game-winning drive. The Titans have still mostly looked terrible this season, and the Raiders, while clearly a little overhyped, should get on track here in a very winnable game.
Arizona Cardinals at Buffalo Bills
The Arizona Cardinals served notice that despite a shocking Week 1 setback to the short-handed Patriots, they're still very much a Super Bowl contender. The evisceration of the Bucs might have been the most impressive performance of the season by anyone yet, and that sky-high stock has resulted in what we think is an inflated line of -3.5 against the Bills on the road. Buffalo has been poor so far but is coming off of a Thursday game, so they'll be well-rested for this one. It's a great buy-low/sell-high spot and we're getting a great number with the public piling on the other side.
Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars
After getting a small amount of preseason respect, the Jags have failed to deliver on even an ounce of their small hype. A competitive loss to Green Bay was encouraging enough, but the shocking blowout at the hands of mediocre San Diego casts serious doubt on whether this franchise is going anywhere with Blake Bortles, who continues to produce only in garbage time. People will be lining up to fade the Jags here, but a Ravens team with a one-dimensional offense that barely got by Cleveland is overvalued after two wins to start the season. Grab the Jags with their backs to the wall at home.
Cleveland Browns at Miami Dolphins
The QB roulette wheel continues to spin for the Browns, and it's rookie USC product Cody Kessler starting after Robert Griffin III and Josh McCown both went down with injuries. Expect a conservative game plan from the Browns, which should including plenty of runs and short passes to protect their young signal-caller. On the other side of the ball, the Dolphins offense was utterly inept for the second straight week in falling behind 24-0 to the Patriots. They only woke up when the game was nearly out of reach and Patriots were playing things safe. They shouldn't be a threat to put up many points, so we like under here.
Washington Redskins at NY Giants
Those who bought into the Redskins' playoff run last year have been sorely disappointed thus far, as Kirk Cousins has reverted to the poor ball security that plagued him for much of his initial few pro starts. Expect more of the same here, as the Redskins offense will likely continue to sputter along against a resurgent Giants defense that strangled Drew Brees and the Saints to the tune of 288 yards and just 13 points. The Redskins, meanwhile, have struggled mightily against the run but have the tools to defend the Giants passing game with CB Josh Norman matching up with Odell Beckham Jr.
Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers
Stock is down for both of these NFC North teams after they booked losses as favorites in Week 2, though the Packers at least can point to playing a tough opponent on the road. Still, this Lions team that was a fair bit worse last year should have gone 2-0 against the Pack, and Aaron Rodgers has really scuffled so far. It's always scary fading Rodgers at home, especially in a big bounce-back spot, but the Lions should have enough offense to keep this one within a score even without RB Ameer Abdullah.
Minnesota Vikings at Carolina Panthers
We are big believers in this Vikings defense, which features playmakers at multiple positions and choked out the Packers after absolutely thrashing the Titans in Week 1. Shutting down Cam Newton and the Panthers will be a tall task indeed, but these guys might be up for it. Sam Bradford looked pretty competent in his Vikings debut Sunday night, but the Panthers defense will not be an easy assignment. Expect both teams to have trouble moving the ball, particularly without their top tailbacks as Adrian Peterson and Jonathan Stewart will both sit this one out.
San Francisco 49ers at Seattle Seahawks
One has to do some real mental gymnastics to envision any world in which the Seahawks should be -9.5 favorites over another professional football team. This team simply does not look to be on par with the Hawks squads of the past few years that consistently contended for the Super Bowl. The offensive line has been absolutely abysmal, the skill positions are as unexciting as usual with Russell Wilson hobbled, and the defense could not even dominate the pathetic Rams attack, allowing Case Keenum 8.0 yards per attempt. The 49ers look game after crushing the Rams and giving the Panthers a fight on the road.
LA Rams at Tampa Bay Bucs
After a horrific opening week, the Rams looked more like the team they were expected to be in Week 2, using a fearsome defense and an opportunistic offense to get just enough points to beat the Seahawks at home. The Bucs are nowhere near as bad as they showed in the 40-7 thrashing at Arizona, and they should be able to right the ship at home here. A defensive struggle should develop here, so as long as the QBs take care of the ball, this one feels like an under to us.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Philadelphia Eagles
One thing you can usually count on from even the most talented of rookie QBs is more mistakes and turnovers than usual. That hasn't been the case at all for Carson Wentz of the Eagles, who has yet to turn the ball over and has his squad sitting at a very surprising 2-0 after routing the Bears on the road. Wentz looks to have the physical and mental tools to succeed, and getting +3.5 at home looks like a bit too much here against the Steelers. This might be the week we see just how talented Wentz truly is, as the Steelers secondary is quite solid.
New York Jets at KC Chiefs
The Chiefs were a preseason darling for many after making a nice playoff run last year and getting the franchise's first playoff victory in over a decade, but the early 2016 returns have been anything but promising. The team needed a massive comeback to beat the Chargers in Week 1 before getting absolutely trounced by the Texans in Week 2. Much of the damage there was self-inflicted, but this team looks like it really misses pass rusher extraordinaire Justin Houston, and the offense has been a bumbling mess without departed OC Doug Pederson. Can Andy Reid right the ship? A balanced Jets team on extra rest will be no picnic, and +3 looks like a steal.
San Diego Chargers at Indianapolis Colts
The Chargers circled the wagons at home after the loss of their best player to get a win against Jacksonville, and they now travel to face a desperate Colts team that fell to 0-2 after failing to get an ounce of offense mustered against the Broncos. The talent level on this Colts team just isn't that great outside of Andrew Luck, but they do match up decently with the Chargers, who are down to basically one healthy running back and an uninspiring bunch of WRs led by Travis Benjamin. The Colts should get the job done here to get their season back on track.
MONDAY, SEPT. 26
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints
Last week, we had a total that was sure to attract a stream of over money in the Giants/Saints game, and our recommended under came through easily. This is a similar spot, so expect this total to be bet up a few points by a public that will be eager to fire away in a matchup of two bad defenses in a dome. The Saints must try to get Mark Ingram going at some point, and this could be a good chance to do so if they're playing from ahead, expected to be the case since they're -3. The Saints looked quite mortal in Week 2 and it's quite possible Week 1 was a fluky result against a Raiders D that looks poor.
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