All the picks in one place! The BookieSmash team breaks down every NFL game for Week 13, and offers the best bet for each game using our wide array of betting sites. Read on before placing your bets this week!
SUNDAY, DEC. 4
Denver Broncos at Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jags were able to get their offense in gear a little bit against the Bills in another losing effort, but they're unlikely to sustain that momentum this week against Denver. The way to attack these Broncos is with a power running game on the ground, but the Jags rank dead last in rushing offense and may be without Chris Ivory and/or TJ Yeldon to boot. Blake Bortles might have to put in volume, and against these elite Denver corners, we could see at least one pick-six.
KC Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons
The Chiefs stay on the road after a monster division win at Denver, but the Falcons present a whole different sort of tough matchup with their high-scoring offense and vulnerable defense. Some injuries have slowed down what looked like a very promising Chiefs defense, with top interior lineman Dontari Poe looking unlikely to play and Dee Ford still not 100 percent and listed as questionable. Without those two top players the Chiefs are unlikely to keep up with an Atlanta passing offense that nobody besides the Eagles has been able to slow down.
Houston Texans at Green Bay Packers
Is Aaron Rodgers back? That's the question on everyone's mind after he came out and eviscerated what's been an excellent Eagles pass defense on Monday night. The Packers were always going to be the most dangerous if they gave the ball to Rodgers as much as possible, and that's happened because the RB corps has been decimated by injury. A tough Texans secondary should at least slow him down some, but Brock Osweiler on a cold day in Lambeau is going to have a very hard time keeping up here.
Philadelphia Eagles at Cincinnati Bengals
Two weeks ago, the Bengals sustained a pair of brutal injuries when AJ Green and Gio Bernard when down, the latter for the season. Green looks likely to be sitting again this week, and the team could muster very little offense against the Ravens. That will probably be the case again this week against an Eagles D looking to bounce back from the shocking Monday performance. Cincy's been poor against opposing running games thus far, but the Eagles haven't been able to get much going on the ground lately with a rotating cast of sometimes-hurt RBs. Take the under in what should be a low-scoring field goal battle.
Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints
The expected shootout of the week comes, unsurprisingly, from the Superdome. The Saints were very impressive over the weekend in carving up a solid Rams defense, and now they get a juicy matchup with the horrible Lions D. No doubt, they'll be putting up some points here, but Matt Stafford and this Lions offense have been good this year as well, and they're quite capable of lighting up the scoreboard themselves against the league's 25th-ranked pass defense. Grab the +6, knowing the backdoor cover will be in play even if Detroit falls behind early.
San Francisco 49ers at Chicago Bears
Matt Barkley's first start for the Bears got off to a pretty horrid start as the team fell behind big in the first half against the Titans. However, he actually played some OK football but was victimized by an insane number of drops from a pretty pathetic corps of receivers with Alshon Jeffery and Zach Miller hurt. If the Bears can actually hang on to the football this week, they have a good chance of getting the W at home against a 49ers team that's playing better of late but still ranks among the league's dregs.
LA Rams at New England Patriots
Rob Gronkowski came into the game against the Jets hurting and proceeded to sustain yet another injury. After that, the Patriots were predictably pedestrian on offense in grinding out a road W. This team just isn't that dynamic or scary without Gronk on the field, but they've opened as huge favorites against the Rams. Rookie QB Jared Goff has shown flashes of competence early in his tenure, and the Rams should be able to keep this one reasonable if Gronk sits as expected.
Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens
Miami's winning streak continued with a nail-biter at home against the 49ers, and the Jay Ajayi train has slowed considerably since his explosive mid-season rampage. It's probably going to slow even further against a Ravens front seven that is stuffing the run at a historic clip. Backs such as Ezekiel Elliott and Le'Veon Bell have struggled to dent these guys, and that will leave it up to QB Ryan Tannehill. He probably won't get the job done, but a Ravens offense that's not far from the league's basement will likely struggle as well. We see very little scoring happening here.
Buffalo Bills at Oakland Raiders
Buffalo's elite running game, spearheaded by LeSean McCoy, gets a lovely matchup here against an Oakland defense that allowed another pile of points against Carolina and ranks 27th in the NFL. Shady and Co. should run wild here, but the Bills will have just as much trouble stopping the Oakland offense. Derek Carr is playing some of the best football of any QB in the league, and 48 seems a little low for a game where neither team is likely to stop the other.
Tampa Bay Bucs at San Diego Chargers
Few teams have turned it around quite like Tampa Bay has, coming off a second straight win over a playoff team after utterly strangling Seattle's offense at home. The Bucs held the Seahawks to just 5 points, and the return of RB Doug Martin takes some pressure off of an offense that was carried almost entirely by Jameis Winston and Mike Evans. A cross-country trip to face an underrated Chargers team is a bit daunting, but the improved Bucs should keep this within a field goal.
Washington Redskins at Arizona Cardinals
Kirk Cousins and the Redskins offense put on another aerial show on Thanksgiving against the depleted Cowboys secondary, but Arizona has one of the most talented and productive defenses in the league. Patrick Peterson should be closer to healthy this week, and Tyrann Mathieu returned against the Falcons. They'll at least limit Washington and could even shut them down with Jordan Reed looking likely to sit. Top RB David Johnson should have a field day against the Redskins defense, ranked dead last against the run.
NY Giants at Pittsburgh Steelers
Not many teams in recent memory have put up an 8-3 record and been less impressive than the Giants. Their defense has been quite solid, but Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, and Le'Veon Bell have been basically unstoppable at home. The Giants offense was struggling at times to move the rock against the horrifying Cleveland defense, so even Pittsburgh's average unit should muster up a few stops. The Steelers go up big early and hold on for the cover.
Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks
The Panthers let a big lead slip away against the Raiders, and their playoff hopes have likely slipped away with it. Cam Newton played pretty well though, and a matchup with the banged-up Seattle defense is friendlier than it looks on paper. The Seahawks just got RB Thomas Rawls back from injury, and his punishing running adds to an already-solid passing game. Both teams surpass 20 points here and get this to the over.
MONDAY, DEC. 5
Indianapolis Colts at NY Jets
QB Andrew Luck should be back for the Colts, which is a must for them to have any realistic chance of beating another NFL team on the road. A Jets pass defense that's among the league's worst will welcome him back. However, Indy's defense remains among the very worst in the league, and the Jets should be able to move the ball at home here with extra time to prepare against this awful unit. Take the Jets to cover at home in prime time.
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