All the picks in one place! The BookieSmash team breaks down every NFL game for Week 11, and offers the best bet for each game using our wide array of betting sites. Read on before placing your bets this week!
SUNDAY, NOV. 20
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts
The Colts are coming off of a bye at home, but this is still a rough matchup for them when a brutal defense faces off with an elite Titans running game. DeMarco Murray and this offensive line have been able to get going against tougher defenses than this recently, and Marcus Mariota seems to be in peak form as well. If he continues to avoid turnovers, the Titans should move the ball plenty, and they'll be able to get revenge for the earlier home loss.
Jacksonville Jags at Detroit Lions
A one-dimensional Lions offense that can't run the ball at all (27th in the league) but can really hurl it (10th) faces off with a Jags defense that can't stop the run but has been quite good against opposing passing games with star rookie Jalen Ramsey erasing opposing WRs. Top backfield target Theo Riddick might also be in for a tough day as the Jags are tops against pass-catching RBs. The Jags are equally one-dimensional, and Blake Bortles seems to only be able to get their aerial attack going at the end of games anyways, so we like a lower-scoring game than expected here.
Tampa Bay Bucs at Kansas City Chiefs
Tampa Bay came to life last week and looked like a reasonable team in a home romp over the Bears, while the Chiefs pulled out a late victory against the Panthers courtesy of some amazing defensive plays. How sustainable living off of those turnovers are is an open question, but Jameis Winston hasn't always been the best at taking care of the ball. Still, it's tough to cover a big number like this without being able to consistently move the ball on offense, and the Chiefs were utterly stymied by a pretty middling Carolina defense. They won't pull far enough away to cover more than a TD here.
Chicago Bears at NY Giants
The whole nation just watched the Giants pull out a dramatic one-point win against the Bengals on Monday Night Football, while the Bears embarrassed themselves in the aforementioned drubbing at the hands of a bad Tampa team. That means it's time to buy low and sell high, and this line definitely look inflated. It's another situation where the Giants just don't have a good enough offense to trust that they'll put significant distance between themselves and a even a bad team, but with two turnover-prone QBs, this one could swing wildly in either direction.
Arizona Cardinals at Minnesota Vikings
After racing out ahead of expectations with a 5-0 start with five easy covers, the Vikings find themselves losers of four in a row and absolutely floundering. Their defense is still on point and ranked sixth in the league, but the offense has gotten absolutely crushed recently as the line can neither open up holes nor protect Sam Bradford. The Cardinals offense isn't much better, as Carson Palmer has regressed from his big 2015 season and the team is quite reliant on David Johnson. Neither team moves the ball here in a very low-scoring slugfest.
Buffalo Bills at Cincinnati Bengals
The Bengals got dealt a pretty nasty scheduling spot here, traveling home for a short week after playing on Monday to host a Bills team coming off of a bye. As if that wasn't bad enough, superstar WR AJ Green looked hobbled against the Giants and spent some of the second half on the sidelines. He'll probably play but might not be 100 percent, and the Bengals will need to score to keep up with this savage Bills running game. Expect a big day from LeSean McCoy and a Bills cover.
Dallas Cowboys at Baltimore Ravens
Ezekiel Elliott and this Cowboys offensive line continue to take the league by storm after running roughshod over the Steelers in another big performance last week. Zeke and Co. will find the going much tougher against a very stout Baltimore run defense that stymied Le'Veon Bell and an solid Steelers running game recently. They're unlikely to be totally held in check, but it should be enough to keep Baltimore in it, especially with star corner Jimmy Smith ready to check Dez Bryant.
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns
The Browns have held exactly one team under 28 points all year, and it was Baltimore, owners of the worst offense in the NFL. It happened twice and the second of those was aided by a pair of red zone INTs. We ca expect this Steelers offense to score 30+, so the Browns only need to get on the board a few times to push this over. The line of only +7.5 suggests they'll keep this somewhat reasonable, so we like the over here.
Miami Dolphins at LA Rams
Everyone's expecting Rams first overall pick Jared Goff to fall flat on his face on his debut, as 80 percent of bettors line up to fire the Dolphins as road favorites here. But, it's a pretty good spot for the Rams facing an overvalued team traveling across the country here. Plus, the Dolphins rely so heavily on their running game, and they're now dealing with a major offensive line injury with Branden Albert hurt, and the Rams have a tough run defense that ranks eighth. The Rams steal one at home here.
New England Patriots at San Francisco 49ers
The 49ers managed to keep things surprisingly competitive last week against the Cardinals as massive underdogs, and they'll try to do the same this week with the Patriot juggernaut rolling into town having experienced a setback against the Seahawks. We fully expect the Patriots to get back on track and the 49ers to offer little resistance to this offense, even with Rob Gronkowski out. Colin Kaepernick has looked good in recent weeks though, and should put up some points to get this one over.
Philadelphia Eagles at Seattle Seahawks
The Eagles showed they could strangle even the sharpest of offenses with their shutdown performance against the Falcons. This defense is legit, and a poor Seattle offensive line is going to be in for a very long day. Russell Wilson is fully capable of making the reads necessary to move the ball, but his mobility is a bit compromised by leg injuries, which will hamper his ability to buy time against the Eagles' blitzes. Carson Wentz is going to need to avoid turnovers, but the coaching staff seems to be keeping a tight reign on him with conservative game plans, so Eagles will keep this close.
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins
We've been fading the Packers constantly, and that continues here with a hot Redskins team that's coming off of a big win against the Vikings where they proved they could move the ball even against a tough defense. The Packers are just a mess right now with the most one-dimensional offense in football putting everything on the shoulders of Aaron Rodgers, while the Redskins have found a running game with Rob Kelley. If Clay Matthews is out again, this play becomes stronger, as the Packers defense will be weakened significantly.
MONDAY, NOV. 21
Oakland Raiders vs. Houston Texans
The Texans somehow continue to win with a nonexistent offense. Brock Osweiler passed for less than 100 yards in his most recent outing, and that just can't continue to work. The Raiders have been playing much more competent defense of late, and this is a nice spot to keep getting right for them. Coming off of a bye, Derek Carr will find enough holes in a decent Texans defense to get the cover in Mexico City.
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